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Red97
182212.2
406872.3
316617.5
Blue84
833427.4
141033.6
99909.3
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1255701001502009784

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+20Auto
+9Teleop
+13Endgame
+13Fouls
AutonomousRed +20
9Leave0
4Coral scored#2
20Coral points9
29Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +11
13Coral scored#15
48Coral points55
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
6Processor points6
8Net points12
14Algae points18
62Total teleop73
Reef
7L4#6
3L3#6
4L2#2
3L1 · trough#3
20Game pieces#21
BargeRed +4
6Cage & park2
6Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +13
0Foul points0
97Total score84

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
72.30.7
72.571.7
Auto21.6
Teleop47.8
End2.9
red by 38.7
1410
#10
33.61.3
28.930.1
Auto7.4
Teleop24.2
End2.0
Second
3166
#22
17.50.7
19.919.2
Auto4.7
Teleop11.0
End1.7
blue by 9.9
8334
#28
27.41.3
30.531.8
Auto4.4
Teleop20.2
End2.7
Third
1822
#30
12.20.7
15.815.0
Auto2.6
Teleop8.2
End1.4
red by 3.0
9990
#39
9.32.1
5.37.5
Auto1.0
Teleop7.3
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
77%Auto oddsEarned30%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
28%Coral oddsMissed2%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
37%Barge oddsMissed15%Barge oddsMissed