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Red50
429311.1
441815.5
66211.7
Blue55
224026.3
294521.7
1068614.6
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions489501505055

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
Teleop+9
Endgame+5
Fouls+5
AutonomousRed +6
9Leave3
0Coral scored#0
0Coral points0
9Total auto3
TeleoperatedBlue +15
1Coral scored#4
5Coral points14
0Processor algae#1
0Net algae#0
0Processor points6
0Net points0
0Algae points6
5Total teleop20
Reef
1L4#2
0L3#1
0L2#1
0L1 · trough#0
1Game pieces#5
BargeRed +4
6Cage & park2
6Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +5
30Foul points30
50Total score55

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4418
#32
15.51.7
18.216.5
Auto3.5
Teleop6.2
End5.8
blue by 10.8
2240
#40
26.33.4
36.533.1
Auto4.2
Teleop21.5
End0.6
Second
662
#36
11.71.7
12.711.0
Auto3.9
Teleop6.6
End1.3
blue by 10.0
2945
#15
21.73.4
22.519.1
Auto3.3
Teleop15.9
End2.5
Third
4293
#37
11.11.7
14.813.1
Auto3.5
Teleop7.2
End0.4
blue by 3.5
14.63.4
17.013.6
Auto2.8
Teleop10.7
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
22%Auto oddsMissed39%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
24%Barge oddsMissed13%Barge oddsMissed