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Red174
297217.9
449984.5
906832.1
Blue141
999936.9
494434.5
161967.9
45%Model gave it55%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions146148110120130140160170180174141

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+39Teleop
+41Endgame
+33Fouls
Autonomouslevel
6Leave0
6Coral scored#7
31Coral points37
37Total auto37
TeleoperatedRed +39
26Coral scored#16
95Coral points56
3Processor algae#1
2Net algae#5
18Processor points6
8Net points20
26Algae points26
121Total teleop82
Reef
11L4#8
10L3#5
6L2#7
5L1 · trough#3
37Game pieces#29
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +33
0Foul points8
174Total score141

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
84.53.1
79.182.1
Auto19.7
Teleop53.1
End11.7
red by 16.6
67.90.3
67.868.1
Auto18.3
Teleop40.6
End9.0
Second
9068
#20
32.13.1
30.633.6
Auto4.0
Teleop28.3
End-0.2
blue by 4.8
36.90.5
24.324.8
Auto10.5
Teleop25.4
End1.1
Third
2972
#27
17.93.1
15.618.7
Auto3.9
Teleop12.5
End1.5
blue by 16.6
34.50.3
33.633.9
Auto5.4
Teleop24.1
End5.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
84%Auto oddsEarned80%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
45%Coral oddsMissed37%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
66%Barge oddsEarned67%Barge oddsEarned