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Red106
203647.4
999316.5
455022.2
Blue110
133953.0
364828.0
998610.6
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions82890204060100120140106110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+8
Teleop+10
Endgame+10
Fouls+4
AutonomousBlue +8
3Leave6
2Coral scored#3
9Coral points14
12Total auto20
TeleoperatedBlue +2
13Coral scored#15
46Coral points54
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#4
12Processor points6
16Net points16
28Algae points22
74Total teleop76
Reef
5L4#7
4L3#4
4L2#4
2L1 · trough#3
21Game pieces#23
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +4
6Foul points0
106Total score110

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.41.0
51.252.2
Auto8.9
Teleop28.8
End9.7
blue by 5.6
53.02.3
48.350.6
Auto8.5
Teleop42.7
End1.7
Second
4550
#38
22.21.0
21.722.7
Auto3.4
Teleop17.6
End1.2
blue by 5.8
3648
#12
28.02.3
23.325.6
Auto7.7
Teleop15.0
End5.2
Third
9993
#21
16.51.7
12.013.7
Auto1.4
Teleop13.7
End1.5
red by 5.9
9986
#24
10.63.9
3.77.5
Auto2.1
Teleop6.9
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
30%Auto oddsEarned68%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
1%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
49%Barge oddsEarned59%Barge oddsEarned