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Red92
748515.2
958624.6
324540.1
Blue60
99971.1
438830.1
1033328.1
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions775101001509260

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+28Teleop
+26Endgame
+32Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
6Leave6
2Coral scored#1
10Coral points3
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +21
13Coral scored#9
46Coral points31
2Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
12Processor points6
4Net points4
16Algae points10
62Total teleop41
Reef
5L4#4
5L3#2
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
18Game pieces#12
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +32
12Foul points6
92Total score60

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.10.2
36.736.9
Auto8.3
Teleop28.9
End2.9
red by 10.1
4388
#31
30.10.6
28.027.5
Auto6.8
Teleop22.1
End1.2
Second
9586
#14
24.60.2
20.020.2
Auto4.9
Teleop19.4
End0.2
blue by 3.5
28.10.6
28.427.8
Auto3.2
Teleop24.2
End0.7
Third
7485
#13
15.20.2
14.014.2
Auto1.9
Teleop10.8
End2.5
red by 14.1
9997
#33
1.11.0
3.32.3
Auto2.8
Teleop-1.7
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
50%Auto oddsEarned25%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
16%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
37%Barge oddsMissed16%Barge oddsMissed