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Red110
299657.1
955131.4
294521.7
Blue120
208337.1
1068614.6
141033.6
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11578050100150200110120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
Teleop+6
Endgame+6
Fouls+10
AutonomousRed +7
9Leave6
4Coral scored#3
18Coral points14
27Total auto20
TeleoperatedBlue +13
14Coral scored#13
49Coral points48
2Processor algae#3
2Net algae#4
12Processor points18
8Net points16
20Algae points34
69Total teleop82
Reef
7L4#7
4L3#3
4L2#3
3L1 · trough#3
22Game pieces#23
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +10
0Foul points4
110Total score120

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2996
#16
57.10.8
55.456.2
Auto15.6
Teleop33.7
End7.7
red by 20.0
37.12.9
28.931.8
Auto8.3
Teleop22.5
End6.3
Second
9551
#25
31.40.8
23.324.1
Auto6.8
Teleop23.1
End1.4
blue by 2.2
1410
#10
33.62.9
30.133.0
Auto7.4
Teleop24.2
End2.0
Third
2945
#15
21.70.8
19.119.9
Auto3.3
Teleop15.9
End2.5
red by 7.1
14.62.9
13.616.5
Auto2.8
Teleop10.7
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
78%Auto oddsEarned37%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
47%Barge oddsEarned24%Barge oddsEarned