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Red60
494434.5
833427.4
441815.5
Blue44
99909.3
66211.7
549314.0
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions97210501506044

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
+6Teleop
+16Endgame
+16Fouls
AutonomousRed +6
3Leave6
2Coral scored#0
9Coral points0
12Total auto6
Teleoperatedlevel
6Coral scored#6
22Coral points22
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
6Processor points6
4Net points4
10Algae points10
32Total teleop32
Reef
2L4#2
2L3#2
2L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
10Game pieces#8
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +16
0Foul points0
60Total score44

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.51.5
33.932.4
Auto5.4
Teleop24.1
End5.0
red by 20.5
5493
#35
14.00.9
12.113.0
Auto2.6
Teleop10.1
End1.3
Second
8334
#28
27.41.5
31.830.3
Auto4.4
Teleop20.2
End2.7
red by 15.7
662
#36
11.70.9
11.011.9
Auto3.9
Teleop6.6
End1.3
Third
4418
#32
15.51.5
16.515.0
Auto3.5
Teleop6.2
End5.8
red by 6.2
9990
#39
9.31.5
7.59.0
Auto1.0
Teleop7.3
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
40%Auto oddsEarned8%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
13%Coral oddsMissed1%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
57%Barge oddsEarned10%Barge oddsMissed