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Red173
203647.4
449984.5
133953.0
Blue42
320022.8
429311.1
593320.6
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2203005010015020025030035017342

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+34Auto
+105Teleop
+131Endgame
+131Fouls
AutonomousRed +34
6Leave0
6Coral scored#1
31Coral points3
37Total auto3
TeleoperatedRed +71
18Coral scored#8
66Coral points29
2Processor algae#1
8Net algae#1
12Processor points6
32Net points4
44Algae points10
110Total teleop39
Reef
9L4#3
5L3#2
6L2#2
4L1 · trough#2
34Game pieces#11
BargeRed +26
26Cage & park0
26Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +131
0Foul points0
173Total score42

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
84.51.0
82.181.1
Auto19.7
Teleop53.1
End11.7
red by 61.7
3200
#19
22.80.7
17.116.5
Auto4.9
Teleop16.5
End1.4
Second
53.01.0
50.649.6
Auto8.5
Teleop42.7
End1.7
red by 32.3
5933
#26
20.60.7
19.318.6
Auto4.0
Teleop16.0
End0.6
Third
47.41.0
52.251.2
Auto8.9
Teleop28.8
End9.7
red by 36.3
4293
#37
11.10.7
13.112.4
Auto3.5
Teleop7.2
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
96%Auto oddsEarned34%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
23%Coral oddsEarned6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
97%Barge oddsEarned9%Barge oddsMissed