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Red126
1033328.1
748515.2
406872.3
Blue103
161967.9
998610.6
999316.5
81%Model gave it19%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13287050100150200126103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
+33Teleop
+23Endgame
+23Fouls
AutonomousRed +17
0Leave6
6Coral scored#1
30Coral points7
30Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +16
19Coral scored#18
70Coral points66
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#1
6Processor points6
16Net points4
22Algae points10
92Total teleop76
Reef
7L4#6
9L3#7
5L2#3
4L1 · trough#3
30Game pieces#21
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +23
0Foul points0
126Total score103

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
72.30.4
71.772.2
Auto21.6
Teleop47.8
End2.9
red by 4.5
67.90.6
68.168.7
Auto18.3
Teleop40.6
End9.0
Second
28.10.4
27.828.2
Auto3.2
Teleop24.2
End0.7
red by 11.6
9993
#21
16.50.9
13.714.6
Auto1.4
Teleop13.7
End1.5
Third
7485
#13
15.20.4
14.214.6
Auto1.9
Teleop10.8
End2.5
red by 4.6
9986
#24
10.60.9
7.58.5
Auto2.1
Teleop6.9
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
59%Auto oddsEarned52%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
21%Coral oddsMissed21%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
47%Barge oddsMissed43%Barge oddsEarned