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Red62
99971.1
324540.1
364828.0
Blue43
297217.9
182212.2
999117.8
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6642020801001201406243

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+19Teleop
+19Endgame
+19Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
9Leave6
1Coral scored#1
7Coral points3
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +12
7Coral scored#6
26Coral points22
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#0
6Processor points6
8Net points0
14Algae points6
40Total teleop28
Reef
3L4#3
2L3#2
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
11Game pieces#8
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +19
0Foul points0
62Total score43

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.10.2
36.936.7
Auto8.3
Teleop28.9
End2.9
red by 22.2
2972
#27
17.90.3
18.718.4
Auto3.9
Teleop12.5
End1.5
Second
3648
#12
28.00.2
25.625.4
Auto7.7
Teleop15.0
End5.2
red by 10.2
9991
#17
17.80.5
13.513.0
Auto3.9
Teleop13.4
End0.6
Third
9997
#33
1.10.3
2.32.0
Auto2.8
Teleop-1.7
End0.1
blue by 11.1
1822
#30
12.20.3
15.014.7
Auto2.6
Teleop8.2
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
49%Auto oddsEarned36%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
48%Barge oddsMissed30%Barge oddsMissed