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Red115
999936.9
833427.4
208337.1
Blue81
224026.3
999518.6
133953.0
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8411605010015020025030011581

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+18Teleop
+28Endgame
+34Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
0Leave0
7Coral scored#3
37Coral points16
37Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +3
12Coral scored#10
42Coral points35
2Processor algae#1
1Net algae#5
12Processor points6
4Net points20
16Algae points26
58Total teleop61
Reef
8L4#5
4L3#3
4L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
22Game pieces#19
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +34
6Foul points0
115Total score81

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.11.2
31.833.0
Auto8.3
Teleop22.5
End6.3
blue by 15.9
53.01.3
49.648.3
Auto8.5
Teleop42.7
End1.7
Second
36.91.9
28.230.1
Auto10.5
Teleop25.4
End1.1
red by 10.6
2240
#40
26.31.3
31.930.5
Auto4.2
Teleop21.5
End0.6
Third
8334
#28
27.41.2
30.331.6
Auto4.4
Teleop20.2
End2.7
red by 8.8
9995
#18
18.62.1
19.517.4
Auto6.1
Teleop11.0
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
66%Auto oddsEarned77%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
12%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
38%Barge oddsEarned16%Barge oddsMissed