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Red53
998610.6
299657.1
99971.1
Blue88
316617.5
99909.3
161967.9
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5811401001502005388

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
Teleop+33
Endgame+41
Fouls+35
AutonomousRed +4
9Leave3
4Coral scored#4
18Coral points20
27Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +37
4Coral scored#9
14Coral points33
0Processor algae#1
0Net algae#3
0Processor points6
0Net points12
0Algae points18
14Total teleop51
Reef
3L4#5
3L3#4
1L2#3
1L1 · trough#1
8Game pieces#17
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +35
6Foul points0
53Total score88

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2996
#16
57.11.3
56.555.2
Auto15.6
Teleop33.7
End7.7
blue by 10.8
67.90.6
68.367.7
Auto18.3
Teleop40.6
End9.0
Second
9986
#24
10.62.0
8.56.5
Auto2.1
Teleop6.9
End1.7
blue by 6.8
3166
#22
17.50.6
17.917.3
Auto4.7
Teleop11.0
End1.7
Third
9997
#33
1.11.8
1.0-0.8
Auto2.8
Teleop-1.7
End0.1
blue by 8.1
9990
#39
9.30.9
10.79.9
Auto1.0
Teleop7.3
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
46%Auto oddsMissed63%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed14%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
56%Barge oddsMissed39%Barge oddsEarned