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Red52
593320.6
455022.2
372915.3
Blue36
999316.5
441815.5
182212.2
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions66310501001505236

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+18Teleop
+16Endgame
+16Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
6Leave9
0Coral scored#0
0Coral points0
6Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +21
9Coral scored#5
32Coral points17
1Processor algae#0
1Net algae#1
6Processor points0
4Net points4
10Algae points4
42Total teleop21
Reef
2L4#2
4L3#1
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
11Game pieces#6
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +16
0Foul points0
52Total score36

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4550
#38
22.20.4
23.523.1
Auto3.4
Teleop17.6
End1.2
red by 5.7
9993
#21
16.51.1
17.716.6
Auto1.4
Teleop13.7
End1.5
Second
5933
#26
20.60.4
18.217.8
Auto4.0
Teleop16.0
End0.6
red by 5.1
4418
#32
15.50.8
15.214.5
Auto3.5
Teleop6.2
End5.8
Third
3729
#34
15.30.4
15.815.4
Auto3.2
Teleop11.1
End0.9
red by 3.0
1822
#30
12.20.8
14.413.6
Auto2.6
Teleop8.2
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
43%Auto oddsMissed39%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
2%Coral oddsMissed2%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
11%Barge oddsMissed48%Barge oddsMissed