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Red106
297217.9
494434.5
320022.8
Blue137
406872.3
1068614.6
958624.6
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions75135050100150200106137

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+18
Teleop+33
Endgame+31
Fouls+31
AutonomousBlue +18
9Leave3
2Coral scored#7
10Coral points34
19Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +15
13Coral scored#22
45Coral points78
3Processor algae#2
5Net algae#2
18Processor points12
20Net points8
38Algae points20
83Total teleop98
Reef
6L4#9
4L3#8
3L2#8
2L1 · trough#4
23Game pieces#33
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +31
0Foul points0
106Total score137

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.50.9
32.933.8
Auto5.4
Teleop24.1
End5.0
blue by 37.8
72.30.1
70.470.5
Auto21.6
Teleop47.8
End2.9
Second
3200
#19
22.80.9
18.419.3
Auto4.9
Teleop16.5
End1.4
blue by 1.9
9586
#14
24.60.1
23.623.7
Auto4.9
Teleop19.4
End0.2
Third
2972
#27
17.90.9
17.818.6
Auto3.9
Teleop12.5
End1.5
red by 3.3
14.60.1
15.015.0
Auto2.8
Teleop10.7
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
33%Auto oddsEarned66%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
14%Coral oddsMissed24%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
46%Barge oddsMissed29%Barge oddsMissed