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Red72
197719.7
1033328.1
999117.8
Blue123
133953.0
999936.9
438830.1
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions59114010015020072123

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+57
Endgame+51
Fouls+51
AutonomousBlue +14
3Leave6
1Coral scored#3
6Coral points17
9Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +43
11Coral scored#22
39Coral points78
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#4
6Processor points6
12Net points16
18Algae points22
57Total teleop100
Reef
5L4#10
3L3#7
2L2#4
2L1 · trough#4
16Game pieces#30
BargeRed +6
6Cage & park0
6Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +51
0Foul points0
72Total score123

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.10.7
27.828.5
Auto3.2
Teleop24.2
End0.7
blue by 24.8
53.00.9
48.349.2
Auto8.5
Teleop42.7
End1.7
Second
1977
#11
19.70.7
16.617.3
Auto3.3
Teleop12.9
End3.5
blue by 17.3
36.91.4
30.131.5
Auto10.5
Teleop25.4
End1.1
Third
9991
#17
17.81.0
16.817.9
Auto3.9
Teleop13.4
End0.6
blue by 12.3
4388
#31
30.10.9
30.531.4
Auto6.8
Teleop22.1
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
21%Auto oddsMissed77%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
15%Barge oddsMissed28%Barge oddsMissed