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Red124
324540.1
955131.4
998610.6
Blue12
429311.1
224026.3
833427.4
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions838020406010012012412

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
+86Teleop
+86Endgame
+112Fouls
AutonomousRed +17
0Leave6
5Coral scored#0
23Coral points0
23Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +69
14Coral scored#0
51Coral points0
1Processor algae#0
3Net algae#0
6Processor points0
12Net points0
18Algae points0
69Total teleop0
Reef
6L4#0
4L3#0
5L2#0
4L1 · trough#0
23Game pieces#0
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +112
26Foul points0
124Total score12

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.12.0
35.037.0
Auto8.3
Teleop28.9
End2.9
red by 12.8
8334
#28
27.44.1
31.627.4
Auto4.4
Teleop20.2
End2.7
Second
9551
#25
31.42.0
26.528.5
Auto6.8
Teleop23.1
End1.4
red by 5.0
2240
#40
26.34.1
30.526.4
Auto4.2
Teleop21.5
End0.6
Third
9986
#24
10.62.9
6.59.4
Auto2.1
Teleop6.9
End1.7
blue by 0.5
4293
#37
11.14.1
12.07.9
Auto3.5
Teleop7.2
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
77%Auto oddsMissed33%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
11%Coral oddsMissed12%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
12%Barge oddsMissed9%Barge oddsMissed