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Red99
141033.6
133953.0
297217.9
Blue88
66211.7
161967.9
372915.3
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1131334060801001601802009988

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
+3Teleop
Endgame+1
+11Fouls
AutonomousBlue +14
9Leave6
1Coral scored#4
4Coral points21
13Total auto27
TeleoperatedRed +17
13Coral scored#9
48Coral points31
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#3
12Processor points12
12Net points12
24Algae points24
72Total teleop55
Reef
5L4#4
6L3#3
2L2#4
1L1 · trough#2
19Game pieces#18
BargeBlue +4
2Cage & park6
2Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +11
12Foul points0
99Total score88

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.01.8
54.852.9
Auto8.5
Teleop42.7
End1.7
blue by 14.9
67.91.9
71.869.8
Auto18.3
Teleop40.6
End9.0
Second
1410
#10
33.61.4
31.530.1
Auto7.4
Teleop24.2
End2.0
red by 18.3
3729
#34
15.31.9
22.320.3
Auto3.2
Teleop11.1
End0.9
Third
2972
#27
17.91.5
21.219.7
Auto3.9
Teleop12.5
End1.5
red by 6.2
662
#36
11.72.6
23.020.5
Auto3.9
Teleop6.6
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
77%Auto oddsMissed81%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed18%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
18%Barge oddsEarned60%Barge oddsMissed