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Red139
449984.5
66211.7
141033.6
Blue60
316617.5
999518.6
203647.4
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1497505010020025013960

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+61Teleop
+57Endgame
+79Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
9Leave3
6Coral scored#3
28Coral points13
37Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +40
12Coral scored#4
44Coral points16
2Processor algae#0
3Net algae#3
12Processor points0
12Net points12
24Algae points12
68Total teleop28
Reef
4L4#3
6L3#2
4L2#1
4L1 · trough#1
23Game pieces#10
BargeBlue +4
12Cage & park16
12Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +79
22Foul points0
139Total score60

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
84.51.0
83.182.1
Auto19.7
Teleop53.1
End11.7
red by 37.1
47.41.6
49.447.8
Auto8.9
Teleop28.8
End9.7
Second
1410
#10
33.61.0
35.034.0
Auto7.4
Teleop24.2
End2.0
red by 15.0
9995
#18
18.62.3
17.415.1
Auto6.1
Teleop11.0
End1.5
Third
662
#36
11.71.0
14.113.1
Auto3.9
Teleop6.6
End1.3
blue by 5.8
3166
#22
17.51.6
17.315.7
Auto4.7
Teleop11.0
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
81%Auto oddsEarned82%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
22%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
60%Barge oddsMissed54%Barge oddsEarned