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Red67
833427.4
549314.0
455022.2
Blue65
1033328.1
224026.3
297217.9
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions708102040601001201401606765

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+2Teleop
+4Endgame
+2Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
6Leave3
1Coral scored#1
7Coral points3
13Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +5
10Coral scored#10
36Coral points37
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
6Processor points6
8Net points12
14Algae points18
50Total teleop55
Reef
5L4#4
3L3#3
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
14Game pieces#15
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +2
0Foul points2
67Total score65

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8334
#28
27.40.2
27.427.6
Auto4.4
Teleop20.2
End2.7
blue by 0.8
28.10.7
28.527.8
Auto3.2
Teleop24.2
End0.7
Second
4550
#38
22.20.2
23.123.3
Auto3.4
Teleop17.6
End1.2
blue by 4.2
2240
#40
26.30.7
26.425.7
Auto4.2
Teleop21.5
End0.6
Third
5493
#35
14.00.2
13.914.0
Auto2.6
Teleop10.1
End1.3
blue by 3.9
2972
#27
17.90.7
18.617.9
Auto3.9
Teleop12.5
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
26%Auto oddsMissed26%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
17%Barge oddsMissed11%Barge oddsMissed