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Red67
316617.5
99971.1
593320.6
Blue123
494434.5
208337.1
906832.1
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2012605010015020025067123

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+40
Endgame+52
Fouls+56
AutonomousBlue +3
6Leave6
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points6
9Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +37
10Coral scored#20
36Coral points73
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
6Processor points6
12Net points12
18Algae points18
54Total teleop91
Reef
4L4#9
2L3#5
3L2#4
2L1 · trough#3
15Game pieces#25
BargeBlue +12
2Cage & park14
2Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +56
2Foul points6
67Total score123

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5933
#26
20.61.5
17.819.3
Auto4.0
Teleop16.0
End0.6
blue by 16.4
37.10.4
34.334.7
Auto8.3
Teleop22.5
End6.3
Second
3166
#22
17.51.5
15.717.1
Auto4.7
Teleop11.0
End1.7
blue by 17.0
34.50.4
33.834.2
Auto5.4
Teleop24.1
End5.0
Third
9997
#33
1.11.9
-0.81.1
Auto2.8
Teleop-1.7
End0.1
blue by 30.9
9068
#20
32.10.4
31.431.8
Auto4.0
Teleop28.3
End-0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
35%Auto oddsMissed64%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed29%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
9%Barge oddsMissed60%Barge oddsEarned