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Red35
182212.2
364828.0
66211.7
Blue169
449984.5
999936.9
429311.1
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions49137010015020035169

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
Teleop+122
Endgame+134
Fouls+134
AutonomousBlue +21
9Leave3
1Coral scored#7
7Coral points34
16Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +101
3Coral scored#18
11Coral points66
0Processor algae#3
1Net algae#8
0Processor points18
4Net points32
4Algae points50
15Total teleop116
Reef
1L4#9
1L3#6
1L2#5
1L1 · trough#5
5Game pieces#36
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +134
0Foul points0
35Total score169

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3648
#12
28.01.4
29.127.7
Auto7.7
Teleop15.0
End5.2
blue by 56.5
84.53.2
82.185.3
Auto19.7
Teleop53.1
End11.7
Second
1822
#30
12.21.4
13.612.2
Auto2.6
Teleop8.2
End1.4
blue by 24.7
36.94.2
31.535.7
Auto10.5
Teleop25.4
End1.1
Third
662
#36
11.71.4
13.111.7
Auto3.9
Teleop6.6
End1.3
red by 0.6
4293
#37
11.13.2
7.911.1
Auto3.5
Teleop7.2
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
41%Auto oddsEarned89%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed35%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
33%Barge oddsMissed63%Barge oddsEarned