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Red158
999518.6
955131.4
406872.3
Blue117
748515.2
299657.1
203647.4
54%Model gave it46%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12812790100110120140150160158117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+59Teleop
+41Endgame
+41Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
3Leave6
7Coral scored#4
34Coral points20
37Total auto26
TeleoperatedRed +48
18Coral scored#10
65Coral points37
5Processor algae#1
5Net algae#6
30Processor points6
20Net points24
50Algae points30
115Total teleop67
Reef
9L4#6
8L3#3
4L2#3
4L1 · trough#2
35Game pieces#21
BargeBlue +18
6Cage & park24
6Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +41
0Foul points0
158Total score117

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
72.32.6
70.573.1
Auto21.6
Teleop47.8
End2.9
red by 15.2
2996
#16
57.10.5
55.254.7
Auto15.6
Teleop33.7
End7.7
Second
9551
#25
31.42.6
28.531.1
Auto6.8
Teleop23.1
End1.4
blue by 16.0
47.40.5
47.847.3
Auto8.9
Teleop28.8
End9.7
Third
9995
#18
18.63.4
15.118.5
Auto6.1
Teleop11.0
End1.5
red by 3.4
7485
#13
15.20.5
15.815.2
Auto1.9
Teleop10.8
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
90%Auto oddsEarned81%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
20%Barge oddsMissed96%Barge oddsEarned