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Red164
208337.1
299657.1
320022.8
Blue111
1033328.1
494434.5
906832.1
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12510250150200164111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+32Auto
+39Teleop
+61Endgame
+53Fouls
AutonomousRed +32
9Leave3
7Coral scored#2
35Coral points9
44Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +7
18Coral scored#18
66Coral points63
2Processor algae#2
4Net algae#3
12Processor points12
16Net points12
28Algae points24
94Total teleop87
Reef
6L4#9
8L3#6
6L2#3
5L1 · trough#2
31Game pieces#25
BargeRed +22
26Cage & park4
26Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +53
0Foul points8
164Total score111

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2996
#16
57.11.2
54.956.0
Auto15.6
Teleop33.7
End7.7
red by 22.6
34.50.2
34.334.5
Auto5.4
Teleop24.1
End5.0
Second
37.11.2
34.836.0
Auto8.3
Teleop22.5
End6.3
red by 5.0
9068
#20
32.10.2
31.932.1
Auto4.0
Teleop28.3
End-0.2
Third
3200
#19
22.81.2
20.521.7
Auto4.9
Teleop16.5
End1.4
blue by 5.4
28.10.2
27.928.1
Auto3.2
Teleop24.2
End0.7