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Red191
449984.5
999117.8
406872.3
Blue151
161967.9
133953.0
593320.6
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions194145100250300191151

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+42Teleop
+56Endgame
+40Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
3Leave0
10Coral scored#6
48Coral points30
51Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +21
26Coral scored#22
94Coral points79
3Processor algae#2
3Net algae#3
18Processor points12
12Net points12
30Algae points24
124Total teleop103
Reef
11L4#8
12L3#13
5L2#4
8L1 · trough#3
42Game pieces#33
BargeRed +14
16Cage & park2
16Total endgame2
Penalties & totalRed +40
0Foul points16
191Total score151

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
84.50.4
84.985.3
Auto19.7
Teleop53.1
End11.7
red by 16.6
67.90.1
66.566.5
Auto18.3
Teleop40.6
End9.0
Second
72.30.4
72.773.1
Auto21.6
Teleop47.8
End2.9
red by 19.4
53.00.1
51.651.6
Auto8.5
Teleop42.7
End1.7
Third
9991
#17
17.80.4
17.417.8
Auto3.9
Teleop13.4
End0.6
blue by 2.8
5933
#26
20.60.1
19.319.2
Auto4.0
Teleop16.0
End0.6