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Red143
208337.1
299657.1
320022.8
Blue119
324540.1
999936.9
224026.3
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions127100050150200250143119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
+18Teleop
+28Endgame
+24Fouls
AutonomousRed +17
9Leave0
7Coral scored#5
35Coral points27
44Total auto27
TeleoperatedRed +1
13Coral scored#16
47Coral points58
2Processor algae#2
6Net algae#3
12Processor points12
24Net points12
36Algae points24
83Total teleop82
Reef
8L4#8
5L3#6
4L2#3
3L1 · trough#4
28Game pieces#26
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Penalties & totalRed +24
0Foul points4
143Total score119

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2996
#16
57.10.6
56.056.7
Auto15.6
Teleop33.7
End7.7
red by 17.0
40.10.3
39.840.1
Auto8.3
Teleop28.9
End2.9
Second
37.10.6
36.036.7
Auto8.3
Teleop22.5
End6.3
red by 0.1
36.90.3
36.636.9
Auto10.5
Teleop25.4
End1.1
Third
3200
#19
22.80.6
21.722.4
Auto4.9
Teleop16.5
End1.4
blue by 3.6
2240
#40
26.30.3
26.126.3
Auto4.2
Teleop21.5
End0.6