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Red169
161967.9
133953.0
593320.6
Blue133
208337.1
299657.1
320022.8
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15511950100200169133

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+42Teleop
+32Endgame
+36Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
6Leave6
6Coral scored#5
31Coral points24
37Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +35
17Coral scored#16
60Coral points57
4Processor algae#2
7Net algae#2
24Processor points12
28Net points8
52Algae points20
112Total teleop77
Reef
8L4#7
7L3#7
6L2#5
2L1 · trough#2
34Game pieces#25
BargeBlue +10
16Cage & park26
16Total endgame26
Penalties & totalRed +36
4Foul points0
169Total score133

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
67.90.6
66.567.1
Auto18.3
Teleop40.6
End9.0
red by 10.8
2996
#16
57.10.4
56.757.1
Auto15.6
Teleop33.7
End7.7
Second
53.00.6
51.652.2
Auto8.5
Teleop42.7
End1.7
red by 15.9
37.10.4
36.737.1
Auto8.3
Teleop22.5
End6.3
Third
5933
#26
20.60.6
19.219.9
Auto4.0
Teleop16.0
End0.6
blue by 2.1
3200
#19
22.80.4
22.422.8
Auto4.9
Teleop16.5
End1.4