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Red103
208337.1
299657.1
320022.8
Blue86
203647.4
999518.6
438830.1
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions120975015020010386

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+15Teleop
+17Endgame
+17Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
3Leave6
7Coral scored#3
34Coral points17
37Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +1
9Coral scored#10
34Coral points37
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
6Processor points6
12Net points8
18Algae points14
52Total teleop51
Reef
6L4#4
3L3#4
5L2#2
2L1 · trough#3
20Game pieces#16
BargeRed +2
14Cage & park12
14Total endgame12
Penalties & totalRed +17
0Foul points0
103Total score86

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2996
#16
57.10.1
54.754.5
Auto15.6
Teleop33.7
End7.7
red by 9.7
47.40.2
47.347.1
Auto8.9
Teleop28.8
End9.7
Second
37.10.1
34.734.5
Auto8.3
Teleop22.5
End6.3
red by 7.0
4388
#31
30.10.2
30.029.8
Auto6.8
Teleop22.1
End1.2
Third
3200
#19
22.80.1
20.420.2
Auto4.9
Teleop16.5
End1.4
red by 4.2
9995
#18
18.60.3
18.518.2
Auto6.1
Teleop11.0
End1.5