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Red58
833427.4
958624.6
141033.6
Blue102
203647.4
999518.6
438830.1
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions97976070809011012013058102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+52
Endgame+56
Fouls+44
AutonomousBlue +7
6Leave0
2Coral scored#5
10Coral points23
16Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +45
6Coral scored#15
20Coral points53
0Processor algae#2
2Net algae#2
0Processor points12
8Net points8
8Algae points20
28Total teleop73
Reef
4L4#6
2L3#5
1L2#5
1L1 · trough#4
10Game pieces#24
BargeBlue +4
2Cage & park6
2Total endgame6
Penalties & totalBlue +44
12Foul points0
58Total score102

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1410
#10
33.60.9
34.633.6
Auto7.4
Teleop24.2
End2.0
blue by 13.8
47.40.2
47.147.2
Auto8.9
Teleop28.8
End9.7
Second
8334
#28
27.40.9
28.327.4
Auto4.4
Teleop20.2
End2.7
blue by 2.7
4388
#31
30.10.2
29.829.9
Auto6.8
Teleop22.1
End1.2
Third
9586
#14
24.60.9
25.624.6
Auto4.9
Teleop19.4
End0.2
red by 6.0
9995
#18
18.60.2
18.218.4
Auto6.1
Teleop11.0
End1.5