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Red184
449984.5
455022.2
406872.3
Blue86
324540.1
999936.9
224026.3
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2098705015025030018486

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+30Auto
+100Teleop
+98Endgame
+98Fouls
AutonomousRed +30
3Leave6
9Coral scored#3
47Coral points14
50Total auto20
TeleoperatedRed +70
22Coral scored#12
78Coral points42
4Processor algae#1
7Net algae#3
24Processor points6
28Net points12
52Algae points18
130Total teleop60
Reef
13L4#7
8L3#4
7L2#3
3L1 · trough#1
42Game pieces#19
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Penalties & totalRed +98
0Foul points0
184Total score86

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
84.50.1
84.884.9
Auto19.7
Teleop53.1
End11.7
red by 44.4
40.10.3
39.539.1
Auto8.3
Teleop28.9
End2.9
Second
72.30.1
72.772.7
Auto21.6
Teleop47.8
End2.9
red by 35.4
36.90.4
36.235.7
Auto10.5
Teleop25.4
End1.1
Third
4550
#38
22.20.1
22.923.0
Auto3.4
Teleop17.6
End1.2
blue by 4.2
2240
#40
26.30.3
25.725.4
Auto4.2
Teleop21.5
End0.6