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Red211
17524.8
17675.8
740787.1
Blue153
169966.9
19561.0
199132.6
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions21318050100150200250300211153

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+18Auto
+60Teleop
+62Endgame
+58Fouls
AutonomousRed +18
6Leave9
10Coral scored#6
52Coral points31
58Total auto40
TeleoperatedRed +42
28Coral scored#20
99Coral points71
3Processor algae#2
5Net algae#3
18Processor points12
20Net points12
38Algae points24
137Total teleop95
Reef
13L4#10
11L3#7
8L2#5
6L1 · trough#4
46Game pieces#31
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Penalties & totalRed +58
0Foul points4
211Total score153

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
87.10.5
86.687.1
Auto24.6
Teleop49.7
End12.8
red by 20.2
66.90.3
67.366.9
Auto12.0
Teleop48.3
End6.6
Second
176
#2
75.80.5
75.375.8
Auto19.6
Teleop47.9
End8.3
red by 14.8
195
#13
61.00.3
61.361.0
Auto17.9
Teleop36.4
End6.7
Third
175
#23
24.80.5
24.324.8
Auto5.0
Teleop17.2
End2.5
blue by 7.9
1991
#17
32.60.3
33.032.6
Auto5.3
Teleop24.8
End2.5