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Red146
19561.0
17744.6
346434.9
Blue149
42926.7
715351.3
457237.3
76%Model gave it24%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions170117050100150200250300146149

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
Teleop+9
Endgame+1
Fouls+3
AutonomousRed +14
0Leave0
9Coral scored#7
47Coral points33
47Total auto33
TeleoperatedBlue +23
13Coral scored#22
47Coral points78
2Processor algae#2
4Net algae#2
12Processor points12
16Net points8
28Algae points20
75Total teleop98
Reef
10L4#13
5L3#7
4L2#4
3L1 · trough#5
28Game pieces#33
BargeRed +8
24Cage & park16
24Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +3
0Foul points2
146Total score149

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
195
#13
61.00.8
66.765.9
Auto17.9
Teleop36.4
End6.7
red by 9.6
51.31.9
48.750.6
Auto11.9
Teleop32.9
End6.6
Second
177
#14
44.60.8
44.643.9
Auto9.4
Teleop25.2
End10.0
red by 7.3
4572
#10
37.31.9
32.534.4
Auto10.6
Teleop23.2
End3.5
Third
3464
#18
34.90.8
41.040.2
Auto10.0
Teleop23.9
End1.0
red by 8.2
429
#16
26.71.9
31.433.3
Auto8.1
Teleop13.0
End5.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
93%Auto oddsEarned96%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
16%Coral oddsMissed27%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
97%Barge oddsEarned83%Barge oddsEarned