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Red144
318233.4
17675.8
15531.8
Blue126
22839.3
23062.2
199132.6
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions176178140160200144126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
+2Teleop
0Endgame0
+18Fouls
AutonomousBlue +7
3Leave3
5Coral scored#7
27Coral points34
30Total auto37
TeleoperatedRed +9
14Coral scored#15
50Coral points53
3Processor algae#1
4Net algae#4
18Processor points6
16Net points16
34Algae points22
84Total teleop75
Reef
8L4#7
6L3#8
4L2#4
1L1 · trough#3
26Game pieces#27
BargeBlue +2
12Cage & park14
12Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +18
18Foul points0
144Total score126

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
176
#2
75.81.6
74.372.7
Auto19.6
Teleop47.9
End8.3
red by 13.6
230
#9
62.21.2
69.067.8
Auto17.7
Teleop37.0
End7.6
Second
3182
#15
33.41.6
37.936.3
Auto4.8
Teleop24.8
End3.8
blue by 5.9
228
#24
39.31.2
41.940.7
Auto10.6
Teleop24.7
End4.1
Third
155
#12
31.81.6
38.136.5
Auto8.3
Teleop20.0
End3.4
blue by 0.9
1991
#17
32.61.2
32.631.4
Auto5.3
Teleop24.8
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
97%Auto oddsEarned86%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
38%Coral oddsMissed52%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
88%Barge oddsEarned70%Barge oddsEarned