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Red98
23730.5
808540.0
57151.8
Blue186
169966.9
18137.2
888933.5
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1501548010012014018020022098186

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+82
Endgame+94
Fouls+88
AutonomousBlue +14
0Leave6
3Coral scored#5
16Coral points24
16Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +68
16Coral scored#29
56Coral points104
1Processor algae#3
3Net algae#5
6Processor points18
12Net points20
18Algae points38
74Total teleop142
Reef
4L4#11
7L3#11
5L2#7
3L1 · trough#5
23Game pieces#42
BargeBlue +12
2Cage & park14
2Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +88
6Foul points0
98Total score186

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
571
#5
51.83.7
54.650.9
Auto10.5
Teleop40.5
End0.9
blue by 15.1
66.92.6
64.667.2
Auto12.0
Teleop48.3
End6.6
Second
40.03.7
41.537.8
Auto5.3
Teleop27.9
End6.8
red by 2.7
181
#19
37.22.6
32.134.7
Auto3.1
Teleop32.2
End2.0
Third
237
#20
30.53.7
37.734.0
Auto5.8
Teleop23.5
End1.2
blue by 3.0
8889
#11
33.52.6
35.738.4
Auto8.1
Teleop25.0
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
76%Auto oddsEarned85%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
74%Coral oddsEarned39%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
64%Barge oddsMissed43%Barge oddsEarned