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Red99
19561.0
42926.7
514251.3
Blue149
715351.3
17524.8
99951.4
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions18112605010015020025030035099149

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
Teleop+50
Endgame+50
Fouls+50
AutonomousRed +10
9Leave3
6Coral scored#5
31Coral points27
40Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +60
8Coral scored#16
29Coral points59
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#8
6Processor points12
8Net points32
14Algae points44
43Total teleop103
Reef
4L4#8
5L3#7
2L2#4
3L1 · trough#2
17Game pieces#31
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +50
0Foul points0
99Total score149

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
195
#13
61.03.8
65.962.1
Auto17.9
Teleop36.4
End6.7
red by 9.5
999
#7
51.41.7
46.848.5
Auto12.0
Teleop36.9
End2.5
Second
5142
#22
51.33.8
57.353.5
Auto12.7
Teleop30.7
End7.8
Level
51.31.7
50.652.4
Auto11.9
Teleop32.9
End6.6
Third
429
#16
26.73.8
33.329.4
Auto8.1
Teleop13.0
End5.7
red by 2.0
175
#23
24.81.7
25.527.2
Auto5.0
Teleop17.2
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
98%Auto oddsEarned82%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
62%Coral oddsMissed11%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
98%Barge oddsEarned62%Barge oddsEarned