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Red150
318233.4
22839.3
740787.1
Blue171
199132.6
17675.8
457237.3
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions195162050100250300150171

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
Teleop+9
Endgame+21
Fouls+21
AutonomousRed +7
3Leave6
7Coral scored#5
34Coral points24
37Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +16
20Coral scored#26
71Coral points93
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#4
12Processor points6
16Net points16
28Algae points22
99Total teleop115
Reef
10L4#15
7L3#5
6L2#8
4L1 · trough#3
33Game pieces#36
BargeBlue +12
14Cage & park26
14Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +21
0Foul points0
150Total score171

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
87.11.3
86.785.4
Auto24.6
Teleop49.7
End12.8
red by 11.3
176
#2
75.81.8
72.774.5
Auto19.6
Teleop47.9
End8.3
Second
228
#24
39.31.3
40.739.4
Auto10.6
Teleop24.7
End4.1
red by 2.0
4572
#10
37.31.8
34.436.1
Auto10.6
Teleop23.2
End3.5
Third
3182
#15
33.41.3
36.335.0
Auto4.8
Teleop24.8
End3.8
red by 0.8
1991
#17
32.61.8
31.433.2
Auto5.3
Teleop24.8
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
90%Auto oddsEarned94%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
79%Coral oddsMissed42%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
98%Barge oddsEarned60%Barge oddsEarned