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Red211
17675.8
19561.0
99951.4
Blue128
808540.0
18137.2
42926.7
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions21095050150250300211128

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+40Auto
+77Teleop
+77Endgame
+83Fouls
AutonomousRed +40
0Leave0
11Coral scored#3
55Coral points15
55Total auto15
TeleoperatedRed +37
28Coral scored#19
100Coral points69
2Processor algae#3
8Net algae#5
12Processor points18
32Net points20
44Algae points38
144Total teleop107
Reef
17L4#7
9L3#8
9L2#5
4L1 · trough#2
49Game pieces#30
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +83
6Foul points0
211Total score128

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
176
#2
75.80.5
75.275.7
Auto19.6
Teleop47.9
End8.3
red by 35.8
40.01.0
38.539.6
Auto5.3
Teleop27.9
End6.8
Second
195
#13
61.00.5
60.661.1
Auto17.9
Teleop36.4
End6.7
red by 23.7
181
#19
37.21.0
33.234.2
Auto3.1
Teleop32.2
End2.0
Third
999
#7
51.40.5
47.748.2
Auto12.0
Teleop36.9
End2.5
red by 24.7
429
#16
26.71.0
26.727.7
Auto8.1
Teleop13.0
End5.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
97%Auto oddsMissed79%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
62%Coral oddsEarned39%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
96%Barge oddsMissed78%Barge oddsMissed