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Red164
169966.9
346434.9
23062.2
Blue110
17524.8
22839.3
17744.6
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions187107050150250300164110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+24Auto
+48Teleop
+48Endgame
+54Fouls
AutonomousRed +24
6Leave6
8Coral scored#3
41Coral points17
47Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +24
19Coral scored#15
69Coral points53
1Processor algae#1
5Net algae#3
6Processor points6
20Net points12
26Algae points18
95Total teleop71
Reef
10L4#5
7L3#6
7L2#5
3L1 · trough#2
33Game pieces#22
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +54
6Foul points0
164Total score110

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
66.90.6
66.666.0
Auto12.0
Teleop48.3
End6.6
red by 22.3
177
#14
44.60.2
43.443.6
Auto9.4
Teleop25.2
End10.0
Second
230
#9
62.20.6
64.363.7
Auto17.7
Teleop37.0
End7.6
red by 22.9
228
#24
39.30.2
38.939.1
Auto10.6
Teleop24.7
End4.1
Third
3464
#18
34.90.6
36.235.6
Auto10.0
Teleop23.9
End1.0
red by 10.2
175
#23
24.80.2
24.524.7
Auto5.0
Teleop17.2
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
90%Auto oddsEarned81%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
29%Coral oddsEarned3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
77%Barge oddsEarned88%Barge oddsEarned