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Qual 252025 CIAC CT State Championship
Red125
318233.4
514251.3
808540.0
Blue155
23730.5
314641.3
19561.0
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions142157050100200250300125155

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+22
Endgame+12
Fouls+30
AutonomousBlue +3
6Leave0
3Coral scored#5
14Coral points23
20Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +19
15Coral scored#19
55Coral points68
1Processor algae#2
5Net algae#5
6Processor points12
20Net points20
26Algae points32
81Total teleop100
Reef
8L4#10
5L3#6
3L2#6
2L1 · trough#2
24Game pieces#31
BargeRed +10
24Cage & park14
24Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +30
0Foul points18
125Total score155

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5142
#22
51.30.5
51.3→50.9
Auto12.7
Teleop30.7
End7.8
blue by 9.7
195
#13
61.00.1
61.1→61.0
Auto17.9
Teleop36.4
End6.7
Second
8085
#6
40.00.5
39.6→39.1
Auto5.3
Teleop27.9
End6.8
blue by 1.3
3146
#8
41.30.1
40.6→40.6
Auto6.8
Teleop26.7
End7.8
Third
3182
#15
33.40.5
35.8→35.3
Auto4.8
Teleop24.8
End3.8
red by 2.9
237
#20
30.50.1
30.7→30.6
Auto5.8
Teleop23.5
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
80%Auto oddsEarned69%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
52%Coral oddsEarned72%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
82%Barge oddsEarned92%Barge oddsEarned