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Red182
15531.8
740787.1
57151.8
Blue160
18137.2
99951.4
457237.3
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions198120050100150250300182160

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+12Auto
+12Teleop
+24Endgame
+22Fouls
AutonomousRed +12
9Leave3
7Coral scored#5
33Coral points27
42Total auto30
Teleoperatedlevel
25Coral scored#21
90Coral points76
3Processor algae#2
4Net algae#9
18Processor points12
16Net points36
34Algae points48
124Total teleop124
Reef
10L4#9
12L3#10
4L2#3
6L1 · trough#4
39Game pieces#37
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +22
0Foul points2
182Total score160

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
87.10.4
86.586.9
Auto24.6
Teleop49.7
End12.8
red by 35.7
999
#7
51.42.4
48.250.6
Auto12.0
Teleop36.9
End2.5
Second
571
#5
51.80.4
51.051.4
Auto10.5
Teleop40.5
End0.9
red by 14.5
4572
#10
37.32.4
34.236.6
Auto10.6
Teleop23.2
End3.5
Third
155
#12
31.80.4
33.333.7
Auto8.3
Teleop20.0
End3.4
blue by 5.5
181
#19
37.22.4
34.236.5
Auto3.1
Teleop32.2
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
98%Auto oddsEarned77%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
77%Coral oddsEarned33%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
84%Barge oddsEarned25%Barge oddsMissed