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Red175
17744.6
169966.9
199132.6
Blue128
23062.2
888933.5
42926.7
71%Model gave it29%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions173152100200250175128

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
+37Teleop
+47Endgame
+47Fouls
AutonomousBlue +14
3Leave9
3Coral scored#5
16Coral points24
19Total auto33
TeleoperatedRed +51
27Coral scored#14
96Coral points49
3Processor algae#3
5Net algae#4
18Processor points18
20Net points16
38Algae points34
134Total teleop83
Reef
13L4#6
6L3#5
5L2#5
6L1 · trough#3
38Game pieces#26
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +47
6Foul points6
175Total score128

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
66.91.0
66.067.0
Auto12.0
Teleop48.3
End6.6
red by 4.7
230
#9
62.21.4
63.762.3
Auto17.7
Teleop37.0
End7.6
Second
177
#14
44.61.0
43.644.6
Auto9.4
Teleop25.2
End10.0
red by 11.1
8889
#11
33.51.4
36.835.4
Auto8.1
Teleop25.0
End0.4
Third
1991
#17
32.61.0
31.732.7
Auto5.3
Teleop24.8
End2.5
red by 5.9
429
#16
26.71.4
27.726.3
Auto8.1
Teleop13.0
End5.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
90%Auto oddsEarned95%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
22%Coral oddsMissed41%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
78%Barge oddsEarned81%Barge oddsMissed