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Red244
17675.8
169966.9
740787.1
Blue146
57151.8
514251.3
206435.9
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions24115650100200300244146

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+19Auto
+76Teleop
+98Endgame
+98Fouls
AutonomousRed +19
9Leave3
9Coral scored#6
45Coral points32
54Total auto35
TeleoperatedRed +57
33Coral scored#18
118Coral points63
2Processor algae#3
6Net algae#4
12Processor points18
24Net points16
36Algae points34
154Total teleop97
Reef
13L4#7
12L3#6
8L2#7
9L1 · trough#4
50Game pieces#31
BargeRed +22
36Cage & park14
36Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +98
0Foul points0
244Total score146

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
87.11.0
85.686.7
Auto24.6
Teleop49.7
End12.8
red by 35.3
571
#5
51.80.9
55.054.1
Auto10.5
Teleop40.5
End0.9
Second
176
#2
75.81.0
73.374.3
Auto19.6
Teleop47.9
End8.3
red by 24.5
5142
#22
51.30.9
58.257.3
Auto12.7
Teleop30.7
End7.8
Third
66.91.0
63.564.6
Auto12.0
Teleop48.3
End6.6
red by 31.1
2064
#21
35.90.9
40.439.6
Auto6.3
Teleop21.9
End7.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
98%Auto oddsEarned96%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
86%Coral oddsEarned58%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
98%Barge oddsEarned84%Barge oddsEarned