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Red143
314641.3
17744.6
18137.2
Blue163
99951.4
23730.5
22839.3
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14114450100200143163

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+18
Teleop+36
Endgame+14
Fouls+20
AutonomousBlue +18
6Leave9
1Coral scored#4
6Coral points21
12Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +18
20Coral scored#25
73Coral points89
2Processor algae#3
5Net algae#4
12Processor points18
20Net points16
32Algae points34
105Total teleop123
Reef
8L4#11
4L3#7
7L2#6
2L1 · trough#5
28Game pieces#36
BargeRed +22
26Cage & park4
26Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +20
0Foul points6
143Total score163

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
177
#14
44.60.7
44.044.6
Auto9.4
Teleop25.2
End10.0
blue by 6.8
999
#7
51.41.3
45.546.8
Auto12.0
Teleop36.9
End2.5
Second
41.30.7
42.743.4
Auto6.8
Teleop26.7
End7.8
red by 1.9
228
#24
39.31.3
40.641.9
Auto10.6
Teleop24.7
End4.1
Third
181
#19
37.20.7
32.433.1
Auto3.1
Teleop32.2
End2.0
red by 6.8
237
#20
30.51.3
37.538.7
Auto5.8
Teleop23.5
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
81%Auto oddsEarned84%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
16%Coral oddsMissed40%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
80%Barge oddsEarned70%Barge oddsEarned