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Red107
457237.3
808540.0
346434.9
Blue75
199132.6
15531.8
17524.8
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16314305010020025030035010775

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+22Teleop
+32Endgame
+32Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
0Leave0
6Coral scored#2
30Coral points9
30Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +1
14Coral scored#10
49Coral points36
1Processor algae#3
2Net algae#2
6Processor points18
8Net points8
14Algae points26
63Total teleop62
Reef
7L4#4
5L3#3
4L2#3
4L1 · trough#2
23Game pieces#17
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +32
0Foul points0
107Total score75

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.01.3
43.742.4
Auto5.3
Teleop27.9
End6.8
red by 7.3
1991
#17
32.62.4
35.933.5
Auto5.3
Teleop24.8
End2.5
Second
4572
#10
37.31.3
39.337.9
Auto10.6
Teleop23.2
End3.5
red by 5.5
155
#12
31.82.4
42.139.7
Auto8.3
Teleop20.0
End3.4
Third
3464
#18
34.91.3
44.042.6
Auto10.0
Teleop23.9
End1.0
red by 10.2
175
#23
24.82.4
32.830.4
Auto5.0
Teleop17.2
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
79%Auto oddsEarned88%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
28%Coral oddsMissed12%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
66%Barge oddsEarned47%Barge oddsMissed