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Red194
57151.8
23062.2
17675.8
Blue184
206435.9
19561.0
169966.9
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2161880100300400194184

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+10Teleop
+10Endgame
+10Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
9Leave6
6Coral scored#7
28Coral points34
37Total auto40
TeleoperatedRed +13
20Coral scored#20
73Coral points72
5Processor algae#3
7Net algae#7
30Processor points18
28Net points28
58Algae points46
131Total teleop118
Reef
8L4#7
9L3#10
5L2#5
4L1 · trough#5
38Game pieces#37
Bargelevel
26Cage & park26
26Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +10
0Foul points0
194Total score184

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
176
#2
75.80.4
73.673.3
Auto19.6
Teleop47.9
End8.3
red by 8.9
66.90.7
62.963.5
Auto12.0
Teleop48.3
End6.6
Second
230
#9
62.20.4
70.570.2
Auto17.7
Teleop37.0
End7.6
red by 1.3
195
#13
61.00.7
71.572.2
Auto17.9
Teleop36.4
End6.7
Third
571
#5
51.80.4
55.355.0
Auto10.5
Teleop40.5
End0.9
red by 16.0
2064
#21
35.90.7
39.740.4
Auto6.3
Teleop21.9
End7.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
98%Auto oddsEarned98%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
77%Coral oddsMissed81%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
81%Barge oddsEarned99%Barge oddsEarned