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Red147
23062.2
318233.4
715351.3
Blue96
42926.7
346434.9
15531.8
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1831205010015020025014796

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+8Auto
+49Teleop
+51Endgame
+51Fouls
AutonomousRed +8
9Leave9
5Coral scored#3
25Coral points17
34Total auto26
TeleoperatedRed +41
21Coral scored#12
75Coral points42
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#2
6Processor points6
16Net points8
22Algae points14
97Total teleop56
Reef
10L4#4
6L3#6
6L2#3
4L1 · trough#2
31Game pieces#18
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +51
0Foul points0
147Total score96

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
230
#9
62.21.2
70.269.0
Auto17.7
Teleop37.0
End7.6
red by 27.3
3464
#18
34.91.6
42.641.0
Auto10.0
Teleop23.9
End1.0
Second
51.31.2
50.048.7
Auto11.9
Teleop32.9
End6.6
red by 19.6
155
#12
31.81.6
39.738.1
Auto8.3
Teleop20.0
End3.4
Third
3182
#15
33.41.2
39.137.9
Auto4.8
Teleop24.8
End3.8
red by 6.7
429
#16
26.71.6
33.031.4
Auto8.1
Teleop13.0
End5.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
94%Auto oddsMissed97%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
49%Coral oddsMissed13%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
86%Barge oddsEarned81%Barge oddsEarned