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Red102
18137.2
206435.9
23730.5
Blue176
514251.3
99951.4
169966.9
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions125200050100150250300102176

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+24
Teleop+62
Endgame+72
Fouls+74
AutonomousBlue +24
6Leave6
1Coral scored#6
7Coral points31
13Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +38
14Coral scored#23
51Coral points81
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#5
12Processor points12
12Net points20
24Algae points32
75Total teleop113
Reef
6L4#9
3L3#8
4L2#7
2L1 · trough#5
20Game pieces#36
BargeBlue +10
14Cage & park24
14Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +74
0Foul points2
102Total score176

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
181
#19
37.21.0
33.132.1
Auto3.1
Teleop32.2
End2.0
blue by 29.7
66.90.0
64.664.6
Auto12.0
Teleop48.3
End6.6
Second
2064
#21
35.91.0
39.638.5
Auto6.3
Teleop21.9
End7.7
blue by 15.6
999
#7
51.40.0
46.846.8
Auto12.0
Teleop36.9
End2.5
Third
237
#20
30.51.0
38.737.7
Auto5.8
Teleop23.5
End1.2
blue by 20.8
5142
#22
51.30.0
57.357.3
Auto12.7
Teleop30.7
End7.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
72%Auto oddsMissed96%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
57%Coral oddsMissed49%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
80%Barge oddsEarned75%Barge oddsEarned