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Red157
169966.9
19561.0
199132.6
Blue51
318233.4
15531.8
888933.5
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2021145010015025030015751

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+94Teleop
+104Endgame
+106Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
3Leave0
7Coral scored#3
34Coral points16
37Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +73
19Coral scored#5
68Coral points19
3Processor algae#1
4Net algae#1
18Processor points6
16Net points4
34Algae points10
102Total teleop29
Reef
8L4#3
6L3#2
8L2#2
4L1 · trough#1
33Game pieces#10
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Penalties & totalRed +106
2Foul points0
157Total score51

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
66.90.3
67.066.7
Auto12.0
Teleop48.3
End6.6
red by 33.4
8889
#11
33.51.4
35.434.0
Auto8.1
Teleop25.0
End0.4
Second
195
#13
61.00.3
61.060.7
Auto17.9
Teleop36.4
End6.7
red by 27.5
3182
#15
33.41.4
35.333.9
Auto4.8
Teleop24.8
End3.8
Third
1991
#17
32.60.3
32.732.4
Auto5.3
Teleop24.8
End2.5
red by 0.9
155
#12
31.81.4
33.732.3
Auto8.3
Teleop20.0
End3.4