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Red175
715351.3
23730.5
23062.2
Blue133
457237.3
18137.2
314641.3
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions173127050100150200250300175133

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+64Teleop
+42Endgame
+42Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
3Leave3
6Coral scored#5
31Coral points27
34Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +60
23Coral scored#14
81Coral points49
4Processor algae#2
8Net algae#4
24Processor points12
32Net points16
56Algae points28
137Total teleop77
Reef
10L4#4
10L3#7
4L2#5
5L1 · trough#3
41Game pieces#25
BargeBlue +22
4Cage & park26
4Total endgame26
Penalties & totalRed +42
0Foul points0
175Total score133

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
230
#9
62.20.7
62.363.0
Auto17.7
Teleop37.0
End7.6
red by 21.0
41.30.4
40.641.0
Auto6.8
Teleop26.7
End7.8
Second
51.30.7
51.452.1
Auto11.9
Teleop32.9
End6.6
red by 14.0
4572
#10
37.30.4
36.637.0
Auto10.6
Teleop23.2
End3.5
Third
237
#20
30.50.7
30.631.3
Auto5.8
Teleop23.5
End1.2
blue by 6.8
181
#19
37.20.4
36.537.0
Auto3.1
Teleop32.2
End2.0