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Red196
17524.8
17675.8
740787.1
Blue119
514251.3
42926.7
57151.8
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions208134050100150250300196119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+25Auto
+53Teleop
+71Endgame
+77Fouls
AutonomousRed +25
0Leave9
10Coral scored#3
51Coral points17
51Total auto26
TeleoperatedRed +28
24Coral scored#15
87Coral points55
2Processor algae#2
4Net algae#5
12Processor points12
16Net points20
28Algae points32
115Total teleop87
Reef
11L4#6
11L3#4
6L2#4
6L1 · trough#4
40Game pieces#25
BargeRed +18
24Cage & park6
24Total endgame6
Penalties & totalRed +77
6Foul points0
196Total score119

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
87.10.1
86.586.6
Auto24.6
Teleop49.7
End12.8
red by 35.3
571
#5
51.80.2
51.851.6
Auto10.5
Teleop40.5
End0.9
Second
176
#2
75.80.1
75.275.3
Auto19.6
Teleop47.9
End8.3
red by 24.5
5142
#22
51.30.2
51.351.0
Auto12.7
Teleop30.7
End7.8
Third
175
#23
24.80.1
24.124.2
Auto5.0
Teleop17.2
End2.5
blue by 2.0
429
#16
26.70.2
26.726.4
Auto8.1
Teleop13.0
End5.7