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Red194
169966.9
19561.0
199132.6
Blue95
715351.3
23730.5
23062.2
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1931715010015025030019495

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
+75Teleop
+87Endgame
+99Fouls
AutonomousRed +6
6Leave6
5Coral scored#3
23Coral points17
29Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +69
23Coral scored#10
83Coral points36
4Processor algae#1
5Net algae#4
24Processor points6
20Net points16
44Algae points22
127Total teleop58
Reef
8L4#5
10L3#2
5L2#3
5L1 · trough#3
37Game pieces#18
BargeRed +12
26Cage & park14
26Total endgame14
Penalties & totalRed +99
12Foul points0
194Total score95

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
66.90.4
66.767.1
Auto12.0
Teleop48.3
End6.6
red by 4.7
230
#9
62.21.2
63.061.8
Auto17.7
Teleop37.0
End7.6
Second
195
#13
61.00.4
60.761.1
Auto17.9
Teleop36.4
End6.7
red by 9.6
51.31.2
52.150.9
Auto11.9
Teleop32.9
End6.6
Third
1991
#17
32.60.4
32.432.8
Auto5.3
Teleop24.8
End2.5
red by 2.2
237
#20
30.51.2
31.330.1
Auto5.8
Teleop23.5
End1.2